A bust card is also known as a break in Blackjack. When drawn, this card causes the player or the dealer to exceed a score of 21 leading to losing the game. In Blackjack, the aim is to obtain a high score close to 21 without exceeding it. This means that the player has to take a decision on checking how likely they are to draw a bust card. Unfortunately, the player will have to take this into account as the dealer can make his decision to draw another card based on the predetermined conditions. A card bust forms a basic strategy for advanced online blackjack techniques such as card counting.
How card bust works?
You might know that a hand below 12 cannot bust on its following card. This chance ranges between 31% and 91 % for the player. The basic scope of drawing a bust card depends on either the player’s or the dealer’s score. While the dealer always hits or stands based on the total score, the player can determine the average chance of the dealer drawing a bust card. This can be done by considering the dealer’s up card. Thanks to the predetermined mechanism used by the dealer, both the low and high upcard pose lesser busting risks. If the dealer has a high up card, it’s less likely for the dealer to draw another card.
You need to remember though that none of these probabilities is accurate. Also, the chance of drawing a bust card is influenced by the remaining cards in the shoe. If you can keep a track of these cards, you are walking the appropriate way towards mastering advanced blackjack strategies such as card counting.
When does the chance to bust increase?
You’ll see that the blackjack dealer is more likely to bust when the cards are dealt in a particular manner, especially with 4, 5 and 6 number cards. Cards with values of five and six contribute to the highest bust rate at 42% while card value of four makes that of 40%. When you see the dealer to have an increased bust rate, you can use this as a chance to bring down your bet by 2x. This comes through with the increased opportunity when the dealer is likely to bust at the time they are dealt card values of 6, 5 or 4.
When does chance to bust depreciate?
A hand with card values of 9, 10 and A have a decreased busting chance. However, if the dealer has any of these card values, they may also have the additional advantage of making a decision as the last player.
The ability to identify particular cards that help in busting the blackjack dealer offers enhanced advantage to players. It provides them with the possibility of deciding which hand is strong enough to bring an enhanced result in the game.
No card bust Blackjack strategy
In a situation when the dealer has a greater probability of a pat hand while facing a high upcard, this strategy may not be of any use. It applies only when:
- A player is dealt a bust hand in 38.46%, where he will not hit by the no-bust rule; he will lose 66.85% of them. Such a situation provides for a better house edge claiming an advantage over the player.
- A no- bust player hits only a hand of 11 or lesser or a soft hand of 12 to 16. Here, the chances are that the first hit results in a bust hand lesser than 17. However, this is breakable and the player could lose 66.85% of those.
- The chance of the player being dealt a pat hand of 17 or greater at the very beginning is limited to 34.91% and the chance of an unbreakable hand 14.65%.
- This means that the no-bust player has a probability of 49.56% to make a tenable hand though there’s no assurance of these hands winnings.
Many experts believe that the no bust player has more chances of losing when playing his hand according to the house rules.